Friday, May 3, 2013

Kentucky Derby Preview and Q&A

I'm not going to beat around the bush too long with this one: I hardly know anything about the Kentucky Derby, or horse racing in general.  To me, the Kentucky Derby is just a great excuse to have a cookout and bet on horses, which everyone likes.  But for me to come on here and give you some long winded tale about who I think is going to win wouldn't be the right thing to do.  I mean, I use the names of the horses to help decide who I'm going to pick.  The odds help, but you want to be screaming some really cool name at the top of your lungs when the race is happening.  This year I like Palace Malice.  25/1 odds aren't spectacular, but man, that a great name.  But after this, I really don't know much.  I try to act like I do in front of our neighbors, but I can't exactly point at a horse and remark "he has great genes" or "he's really been running well" and get away with it, because like I said before, I really don't know what I'm talking about. So I've brought in the experts. Mattie W. and Maddie C. are friends of mine from the horse world, and both are experienced horsewomen and riders.  They are extremely knowledgeable about this, and will be able to provide some important insight into this race:

Straight Up Sports: "Thanks for doing this.  As you well know, I don't know anything about this, so please enlighten me, and everyone out there.  First off, what is the best starting position to have?"

Mattie W: "The best position to have is on the inside."

Maddie C: "Yes, but favoring the middle.  You definitely don't want to be on the outside, and if you are too far to the inside you can get pinned to the rail"

Straight Up Sports: "The forecast this year is calling for rain.  We all know that the weathermen can be wrong, but what are the challenges of racing in rain, and what does it do to the track?"

Maddie C: "Bad weather is anyone's game.  The track is slippery, and it's much more even.  Some horses are better in these conditions, which generally favor a stronger and scrappier horse."

Mattie W: "Rain will make the track 'deeper' and for some horses, harder to run in.  Other horses called 'mudders' will run better when the track is muddy."

Maddie C: "Some are just better suited for these conditions, but it can also be a reflection of the horse's training conditions.  It's just like any other sport: a football player from the north isn't going to be as affected by cold and snowy conditions as one from the south would be."

Straight Up Sports: "When the horses are being loaded into the starting gates, all the horses act differently. Some walk calmly into the gate, and others are very reluctant and put up a bit of a fight to not go in the gates. Which way would you want your horse to act, and does it make a difference?"

Mattie W: "This is something that differs for every horse, but you want them to be excited.  You'd rather see them fight it than not.  This doesn't mean a calm horse can't win, but they are like athletes, and you want them pumped up and ready to go.  But in the end, they are animals. You can only control they way they act to a certain extent."

Straight Up Sports: "Let's talk about race strategy for a minute. Starting strategy? Finishing strategy?"

Maddie C: "The starting attitude depends on the horse. Each trainer trains them differently, so some might seem dead coming out of the gates, but really they are just saving their energy. In terms of finishing it's a little different.  If one horse is way out in front, the jockey has to be pretty full of himself to think that nobody is going to come up from behind.  But when it's multiple horses in a photo-finish situation, the smartest jockey wins. The jockey must decide when the horse needs to 'make his move'.  If this is done correctly, that's when upsets happen. It's not about speed.  It's about the pack. It's about getting in proper position and then finding a hole to win coming down the home stretch. Racing strategy boils down to this: keeping up, finding that hole, and having enough energy left to win."

Straight Up Sports: "What are the types of horses that are competing in this race?"

Mattie W: "Most (all) race horses are thoroughbreds.  This is a breed that is essentially built for speed.  They are normally bred in the United States, though they originally come from England.  Most warm bloods (horses from Europe) are less agile and meant for pulling carts; not for speed.  It's just like a breed of dog; it's all about the bone structure.

Straight Up Sports: "What can you see in a horse that tells you if they are a winner or not?"

Maddie C: "Color doesn't make a difference. Size is a wash, because big horses can cover more ground, but a smaller horse is more compact and speedy.  This is why betting lines are never totally accurate.  The only way you can know if a horse is going to win is to look at the numbers (times, wins, losses).  These are the true determining factors.

Straight Up Sports: "Thanks for answering these questions ladies! Before we go, do either of you care to give a pick, and tell us why you think that horse will win? As I see it, it's all boiled down to two horses: Orb and Verrazano both currently sit at 4/1 odds."

Mattie W: "Ha! I honestly haven't looked at all the horses yet... I can't make a pick yet."

Maddie C: "I'd put my money on Verrazano.  He's in much better shape than Orb.  They are both beautiful horses, but Verrazano is much more proportioned and properly muscled."

Straight Up Sports: "Well that's all we have time for! Thank you ladies so much for weighing in and answering these questions."


I hope this helped make the Kentucky Derby and horse racing in general make more sense to you- I know it helped me!  Here are the complete odds as of the time this post is submitted:
 1.Black Onyx 50/1

2.Oxbow 33/1
3.Revolutionary 9/1
4.Golden Soul 50/1
5.Normandy Invasion 9/1
6.Mylute 16/1
7.Giant Finish 50/1
8.Goldencents 11/2
9.Overanalyze 14/1
10.Palace Malice 25/1
11.Lines of Battle 33/1
12.Itsmyluckyday 12/1
13.Falling Sky 50/1
14.Verrazano 4/1
15.Charming Kitten 25/1
16.Orb 4/1
17.Will Take Charge 20/1
18.Frac Daddy 40/1
19.Java's War 16/1
20.Vyjack 14/1

Frac Daddy is another great name.  Bad odds, great name.  Post time is set for 6:24 pm EST and will be televised on NBC.  Make sure to tune in! 'Til next time.

Thursday, May 2, 2013

Observations on The Game

Well, I've been busy. I had plans to write, but spring break and a deep NCAA Tournament run by my favorite team got in the way.  So after the Final Four (and a week of depression) I decided I better write again.  Well it turns out I find watching 10 hours of Masters coverage every day more entertaining than, well, anything.  Then it was back to school, and two weeks later, I still hadn't written anything.  So after several hours of procrastination, here I sit, finally writing that ever elusive blog post.  It's great to be back.

You may be thinking "Ugh, he's going to skip over all of that great stuff that happened", and to that, as Lee Corso would say, I give a "Not so fast my friend" in your general direction.  Because even though I might have been gone, I might have been down, but I was not out.  No, not even close.  You see, I have been observing.  Very closely in fact.  These are my observations.  Fittingly, they will be called "Observations on The Game".  I feel like David Hartley right now, writing a philosophical narrative about one man's cunning observations.  Except these aren't exactly cunning, nor are they going to change philosophy forever. This is a  stream of consciousness. About a game.  And it just might be one of the best we will ever see.

Observations on The Game:  
     I sat in my seat and prepared myself for the game of a lifetime.


     Michigan vs Louisville for the national championship.  It did not get any better than this.  I expected great things, but little did I know that the spectacle that was about to appear in front of me would be one of the greatest games in the modern era of basketball.  The fans were great.  The atmosphere was electric.


     The game started, and it was an epic, back and forth affair.  Then a small kid that can shoot the lights out decided to get hot.  Michigan's back up point guard Spike Albrecht made 4/4 threes in the first half, finishing with 17 points at the break in relief of star point guard Trey Burke, who had to sit with 2 fouls.  Spike's performance was inspiring, and raised a chorus of "Who the heck is this kid?" from the Louisville fans in my section.


      Louisville tried everything they could to stop Spike.  But he's an Indiana kid.  "Hoosiers" is probably his favorite movie.  He was unheralded  He was unappreciated   He was just a freshman.  But on the big stage in the big dance everyone is equal.  And Spike proved he belonged there.


      Louisville was out of sorts.  They were getting beaten in every way possible.  Their coach Rick Pitino called a timeout with about 3:40 left in the half.  Whatever he said in that huddle must have worked. Because  Louisville's Luke Hancock looked at what Spike just did, and said to himself "I can do that".  He did just that, and with Louisville down 12, with 3:00 to go in the first half made a three.


     And then on the next possession, made another.  And on the next trip down made another.


      Michigan called a timeout, came out of it, and missed a shot.  Louisville took it down, gave it to Hancock, who just wildly heaved it up from about 28 feet out.  It was an off balance, one footed, going away from his dominant side, shoulder heave.  From where I stood, I had a perfect line on this shot.  My mouth slowly fell open in awe as the ball arched on a perfect trajectory towards the hoop, going through with a perfect swoosh.  That's a 12 point lead eliminated by one player in four possessions in less than 2 minutes on 4 shots. Utter. Pandemonium.



      Michigan managed to take a one point halftime lead.  It didn't feel like a lead thought.  The look on the faces of Michigan fans were that of fans whose team was down 20.  But it felt like that.  Everyone in that building knew that there was a storm coming in the second half.  But there was an air of anticipation   Because that was the greatest first half of basketball I had ever seen, and I couldn't even begin to fathom what the second half had in store.
      This epic back and forth battle between these two heavyweights continued into the second half.  This was Ali vs Foreman. This was The Rumble in Downtown Atlanta. These teams were trading blows, and it was only a matter of time before one of them would become the knockout punch. Michigan took an early lead, and then Louisville, and then Michigan, and then Louisville again.  This was the type of game you never wanted to end.  Just two teams of athletes at their physical and mental best giving everything they had and then some at the pursuit of a National Championship.  That's what it was, and everyone in that building that night knew it.



       This was the most beautiful thing until just over 5 minutes left in the second half. Michigan had just cut Louisville's lead down to three, and there was a buzz in the building.  Was the momentum going to switch back Michigan's way? Could Michigan, the youngest team in the tournament, pull this win off? All they needed was a spark.  Both teams had some momentum when Spike Albrecht missed a layup and Louisville forward Chase Behanan grabbed the rebound. He looked and found Louisville guard Peyton Siva streaking alone in the open court.  The pass was perfect and Siva started to glide in for a layup.  Michigan guard Trey Burke was the only one in the vicinity, he slowed a bit to time his leap.


      With 5 minutes to go in a national title game, you don't concede uncontested layups. Burke and Siva both leaped at the same time, Burke on the inside, closest to the basket.  This all seemed to happen in slow motion to me.  Burke extended his left hand as far as he could, grabbed the ball, and pressed it against the glass.  What. A. Play!


      Almost the moment he did this, a short, shrill noise erupted from near the sideline.



      The whistle of a referee.  At the same time, a Michigan player grabbed the rebound, and looked to start a fast break going in the other direction, because according to him, and most of the stadium, this was the spark that Michigan needed.  This game was theirs for the taking.  Except for that whistle.



     Trey Burke had just made the best play of his incredible career.  And this is what it looked like in the play by play:

5:09Foul on Trey Burke

5: 09 Foul on Trey Burke. Foul on Trey Burke. Foul.
      Trey Burke couldn't believe it.  His reaction is exactly that of someone that knows he has been robbed of possibly the most athletic and greatest play of his career.


     I knew it. The Michigan bench knew it.  Their coach John Beilein knew it.  The crowd knew it, and immediately erupted into boos.
      Peyton Siva silenced those boos with two free throws, pushing the Louisville lead to 5, a lead that they would not relinquish.  Another Luke Hancock three made it a 10 point game, but like they did all year, and all tournament long, Michigan fought back, pulling it to 4 points with 1:20 remaining.  But they were unable to get that clutch bucket to turn it into a real nail-biter, and a key turnover sealed the deal for Louisville, who after some free throws won 82-76.

     Walking off the court while confetti that could have been for you rains down and another team celebrates a victory has to be one of the worst feelings in the world.



     The way the teams celebrated were total opposites, as one would expect.  For Michigan, it was a solemn handshake between coach John Beilein and freshman forward Mitch McGary.



     For the players it was a simple hug.  No words are needed.


     For Louisville, it was a time for celebration, for rejoicing, for joy.  It was time to cut down the nets.  The hoop was lowered so that Kevin Ware, a sophomore guard who broke his leg in Louisville's Elite Eight game could cut down the final strand. 

 
     They truly won that game for Kevin Ware. They stood for endless pictures, posing with various signs, and of course, the National Championship Trophy.



     When Louisville coach Rick Pitino finally made his way off the court to go celebrate with his players and conduct all of the necessary interviews, he flashed one last sign of victory to the remaining crowd.  He formed his hand into a "L" and held it there for a minute before finally succumbing to a wash of security, fans, and reporters who were all pushing him towards the exit.



     This was truly a game for the ages.

     Something about this game's finish was melancholy for me when it ended.  As I sat there, surrounded by some fans who had tears of joy in their eyes, others had tears of sadness.  In front of me, as confetti streamed down from the rafters, I came to a stark realization.  This is the only time I would ever see something like this ever again.  If this epic of a game had happened in the NBA, both teams would simply resign everyone to a contract, and there was a good chance that this same matchup would happen again next year.  But this is college basketball. This will never happen again.  I'd seen Trey Burke's last game in college. I am very confident that he will have a long and extremely successful NBA career, but there was something magical about that night.  This is what makes college basketball so painful, but so beautiful.  The rosters are always changing, the game is always evolving.  This is what makes it great, but for once, I wish I could have a time machine, so I could go back and see them play this game again.  Not because I didn't like the result the first time, but because it was such an incredible battle between two teams who left everything they had on the court.  That was a game that even Hollywood couldn't have scripted.  But we must move on from the past.  Michigan is losing 7 players from that roster, Louisville only 1 (they have a TON of juniors).  But for about 3 hours in downtown Atlanta, time seemed to stand still.  There was nothing going on in the world except a duel to the death between two opponents on a basketball court.  It was beautiful.  It was a work of art.

Monday, March 18, 2013

March Madness - Hot or Cold

As March plods on, so do I.  Here is a list of hot and cold teams that could potentially bust your brackets.  The hot teams are mostly just teams that have either won their conference tournament or are playing very well.  Note that these are not upset picks (I will have a sleeper picks segment coming soon).   The cold teams are teams that have limped to the finish or struggled down the stretch.  It's always good to pick a team that has been hot down the stretch- remember Connecticut in 2011? They won their last 5 games of the regular season, then the Big East tournament.  They of course went on to win the national championship.  Remember Missouri last year? They didn't play well in the Big 12 tournament and lost in the first round to Norfolk State even though they were a 2 seed.  How hot/cold a team is going into the tournament not only gives a glimpse into how they are playing, but how they might be looking at the games from a confidence aspect.  Is it a "Let's go out and win the whole thing" type mentality, or a "Let's not lose" mentality.  While I can't give you a glimpse into the psyche of the teams, I can tell you who is playing their best (or worst) basketball at the moment.  Here is my 2013 March Madness "Hot or Cold" post. (All times Eastern)

HOT: (4) Saint Louis - There might not be a team playing better basketball at the moment than the Saint Louis University Bilikins. They are 27-6 on the season with a 13-3 conference record out of the Atlantic 10. They won both the regular season crown and the A-10 conference tournament.  On January 19th they lost to lowly Rhode Island.  It seemed like Saint Louis was destined for mediocrity, and they would once again be on the bubble.  But since that day they have won an incredible 16 out of their last 17 games, including 4 wins over ranked teams, including 3 wins over Butler, and 2 against VCU.  Their only loss in that stretch was in overtime on the road against Xavier.  Saint Louis has a great group of seniors and can shoot the three very well.  They have a dynamic backcourt, and if history is any indicator, it helps to have one of those if you are going to make a deep tournament run. They take on 13 seeded New Mexico State on Thursday, March 21 at 2:10 pm. 

COLD: (4) Michigan - Another 4 seed, but Michigan is in a completely different situation than Saint Louis. After starting the season 16-0, and at one point boasting a 20-1 record, Michigan has fallen from grace over the last few weeks.  The various bracket projections had them as a 1 seed all year until they fell all the way down to a 4.  How did this happen? They only managed 5 wins in their last 12 games.  A 5-7 record down the stretch is nothing to write home about.  Some of these losses are justified (Indiana twice, a half court buzzer beater against Wisconsin), but it's how the Wolverines are losing that bothers me.  They blew 8+ point leads against Wisconsin twice, Indiana, and against Penn State, one of the Nittany Lions' two Big Ten victories.  Michigan's overall body of work is still very impressive, but they are not playing they best ball, and rely too heavily on All-American point guard Trey Burke.  He's good, but he can't do everything.  Michigan will take on a tough 13 seeded South Dakota State team led by star guard Nate Wolters Thursday, March 21 at 7:15 pm.  The good news for Michigan: they are playing close to home in Detroit; just a 55 minute drive from the Michigan campus.

HOT: (1) Louisville - Yeah, I know you would imagine that the number one overall seed would be playing pretty well.  Honestly, "pretty well" is a total understatement.  Louisville is playing OUT OF THEIR MINDS right now.  10 straight wins in the tough Big East, and they have won 13 of their last 14, on their way to a 29-5 record.  The only loss was a 5 overtime contest at Notre Dame.  I'm pretty sure we can excuse that as a good loss.  Louisville has beaten 5 ranked teams during that stretch, including Syracuse both on the road and on a neutral court.  They don't have an obvious weak spot in their lineup, and even if they did, their amazing guard play would make up for it.  This is a team that went to the Final Four last year, and returned many players from that team.  They have experience playing good teams in tough environments.  They probably wont get either in their first game: they are playing the winner of a First Four play in game (more information on that HERE), and they are playing very close to home in Lexington, Kentucky.  Louisville will play either North Carolina A&T or Liberty on Thursday, March 21 at 6:50 pm.  If/When they win, they will play the winner of Colorado State and Missouri.  

COLD: (11) Minnesota - Once upon a time the Golden Gophers were 15-1, ranked #8 in the land, and playing incredible basketball. And then the flood gates broke open and they finished the season on a 5-11 run to end up with a 20-12 record.  That's not very good, regardless of what conference you are in.  Luckily, they had enough quality wins that they could still make the tournament as an 11 seed.  Amazingly, they still have 5 wins against ranked teams, but during that 5-11 cold spell they lost to the likes of Purdue, Nebraska, Iowa and Northwestern. None of those teams made the big dance.  I'd say that's a little more than a cold spell: that's an ice age! But the NCAA Tournament is redemption time, and Minnesota will get that chance against 6 seeded UCLA on Friday, March 22 at 9:57 pm. 

HOT: (8) North Carolina - Sometimes you can determine the "hotness" of a team based on the numbers.  Sometimes you have to use the good ol' fashioned eye test.  UNC (24-10) meets that test.  They struggled with team chemistry for most of the season, but really got it together late and have been really clicking on offense.  They have ability to go out any day and outscore any team that they play against.  They are 8-2 in their last 10 games, and even though they lost to Miami (FL) in the ACC championship game, they are still a very dangerous team.  They will play 9 seeded Villanova on Friday, March 22 at 7:20 pm.  If they win, they will (most likely) have a huge showdown with 1 seeded Kansas.

LUKEWARM: (4) Syracuse - If Syracuse aggravates me, I can't even imagine how their fan base feels, or even their coach.  On one hand, they beat 2 ranked teams and make it to the Big East tournament championship game.  On the other hand, they are 4-5 over their last 9 games.  On one hand, every loss was to a ranked team.  On the other hand, several of them were at home, and several others by double digits. So, I'm just going to categorize Syracuse as "lukewarm" because that's exactly what they are.  They have splotchy big man play, and their guards have a horrible tendency to get themselves into foul trouble. The Orange (26-9) will take on the 13 seeded Montana Grizzlies on Thursday, March 21 at 9:57 pm.

HOT: (2) Ohio State - The Buckeyes (26-7) are on fire right now.  They are on a 8 game winning streak that includes wins against 4 ranked teams, including at Indiana.  They just won the Big Ten tournament over Wisconsin, and they made it look easy.  They have great weapons, but the key right now is Aaron Craft.  He is a prototypical passing point guard.  He racks up the assists and steals first, and looks to score second.  This was no the case over the last few games, as Craft has somehow flicked a switch, and is averaging 13 points over his last 5 games.  Craft, along with Deshaun Thomas, will be the keys for Ohio State to make a deep run this year. Ohio State takes on 15 seed Iona on Friday, March 22 at 7:15 pm.

UNBELIEVABLY SCALDING FIERY HOT: (6) Memphis - If you haven't already figured it out, Memphis is playing some very good basketball right now.  They are on a 24-1 streak.  That's incredible. They are 30-4 overall, and currently on a 6 game winning streak after losing to Xavier in late February. They had a perfect 16-0 record in Conference USA, and won the conference tournament with an overtime thriller against Southern Mississippi.  Memphis is extremely athletic, and is poised perfectly to make a good run.  They will take on an 11 seed that will be determined in the First Four, in a game between Saint Mary's and Middle Tennessee State (Preview of that game HERE).  That game will be played on Thursday, March 21 at 2:45 pm.  

So there you have it. The hot and cold (and Syracuse) teams in the tournament.  I hope that this helps you so you can fill out a great bracket and beat your coworkers, or friends, and you HAVE to beat your boss. There will be a sleeper picks post coming out tomorrow, along with continued March Madness coverage every step of the way.  Happy bracket fillings. 'Til next time.

First Four Preview

Oh how I have waited for this day! May the glorious thing we call "March Madness" commence.  This post will be my first of many involving the NCAA Tournament as I cover the action every step of the way.  The best thing about college basketball is that every college basketball team has a mathematical shot at being the National Champion.  That number has now been reduced to 68 teams.  The field traditionally used to be a 64 team field, but the NCAA has decided they want to make even more money, so two years ago they expanded the field to 68 and started what they call the "First Four", which is simply 4 play-in games that take place in Dayton a couple of days before the actual tournament starts.  This will be the third year that the First Four has taken place.

Surprisingly, teams have had success out of the First Four.  Virginia Commonwealth made it all the way to the Final Four in 2011 even though they had to play an extra game in the First Four.  The NCAA Selection Committee (The people that decide who is in and who is out) has been very lenient towards teams from smaller conferences over the last few years when deciding which teams will be the last ones in. The trend held strong this year, as none of the teams selected for the First Four are from a major conference.  Here is my preview of the First Four games of the 2013 NCAA Tournament. (All times Eastern)

(16) North Carolina A&T vs (16) Liberty - Tuesday March 19, 6:40 pm
The First Four has two games that take place between 16 seeds, and two games with teams that are seeded somewhere between 11-14.  Unfortunately for the 16 seeds, these games are preparing them for the slaughterhouse: the winner will go on to face a 1 seed.  In the long history of the NCAA Tournament a 16 seed has never beaten a 1 seed.  In the case of these teams, they will go on to face the number 1 overall seed, Louisville. Both of these teams had to win their conference tournament to receive an automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament.
North Carolina A&T was a relatively darkhorse team out of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC).  The MEAC had been dominated all season by Norfolk State and North Carolina Central, but both of those teams lost in the early rounds of the conference tournament   North Carolina A&T defeated Morgan State by 3 to secure this spot.  They finished 19-16 on the season with a 8-8 conference record.
The Liberty Flames have to be one of the best stories of March Madness.  They started out their year by losing the first 8 games they played.  Add in a poor conference season, and they were 12-20 heading into their conference tournament.  But they got hot at the right time, rattled off 5 straight wins, and beat heavy favorite Charleston Southern in the Big South conference championship game to clinch a berth in the tournament.  They have a 15-20 record, and went 6-10 in conference.
Straight Up Pick: North Carolina A&T

(16) LIU Brooklyn vs (16) James Madison - Wednesday March 20, 6:40 pm
The other 16 seed matchup features LIU Brooklyn and James Madison.  The winner of this game will go on to face the 1 seeded Indiana Hoosiers. LIU Brooklyn has one of the best point guards in the country, Jason Brickman.  Brickman is averaging an incredible 8.5 assists per game.  He has led the LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds to a 20-13 record, and a victory in the Northeast Conference tournament to secure their NCAA Tournament bid.
The Blackbirds will face the James Madison Dukes from the Colonial Athletic Conference.  James Madison won their conference tournament over favorite Northeastern by 13 points.  They have a 20-14 record on the season.
Straight Up Pick: LIU Brooklyn

(11) Saint Mary's vs (11) Middle Tennessee State - Tuesday March 19, 9:10 pm
The first at-large matchup of the tournament features two 11 seeds that many thought would not even make the tournament.  The winner of this game will move on to face 6 seeded Memphis.  The Saint Mary's Gaels have a 27-6 record on the season, and are led by one of the most dynamic players in the country, point guard Matthew Dellavedova.  They played in the West Coast Conference where they had a 14-2 record, with their only two conference losses coming to Gonzaga, who is a 1 seed in the tournament.
Saint Mary's dynamic back court will have a tough task ahead of them, as they take on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders. MTSU has a 28-5 record, and went 19-1 in the Sun Belt conference.  They were favored to win their conference tournament and get an auto-bid, but lost in the second round to Florida International.  These two teams have not played the toughest schedules in the nation, and it will be very interesting to see how they are perform, each team coming off of a loss in their most recent game.
Straight Up Pick: Saint Mary's

(13) La Salle vs (13) Boise State - Wednesday March 20, 9:10 pm
The final First Four matchup features two of the best bubble teams in the nation.  The winner of this game will move on to face a tough 4 seed, Kansas State. La Salle had a great year in one of the tougher mid-major conferences, the Atlantic 10.  They ended up with a 21-9 record, but lost their last 2 games of the season.  They do hold quality wins over Butler and VCU this year however.
La Salle will face one of the hottest teams in the NCAA Tournament, the Boise State Broncos.  Boise State, out of the Mountain West Conference (the best non-major conference in the nation), finished with a 21-10 record, including winning 5 of their last 7 games.  Regardless of who wins this game, they are poised for a deep tournament run.
Straight Up Pick: Boise State

This was the First Four preview, and was also the first piece of A LOT of great March Madness content that is still to come.  Look for more previews, sleeper picks, and a hot/cold chart that will help you pick your brackets.  I love March, and I hope you do too.  'Til next time.

Friday, March 8, 2013

Blind Resumes

It's almost time for the NCAA Tournament! Which means the joy of filling out a bracket, bragging about your picks, and then watching way too much the right amount of basketball as you cheer on your teams.  But to pick a bracket, the NCAA selection committee must choose who is in and who is out.  It is our job as fans to speculate and predict who will be in the field, and who will be left out.  The teams that are on the edge of being barely in or barely out of the tournament are considered to be "on the bubble".  When fans look at these bubble teams to try and determine who should be in or not, they are often extremely biased towards large or traditional schools.  Over the last few seasons the NCAA has shown a bit of reverse bias by picking teams like VCU, Alabama-Birmingham, and Iona over what some people considered to be far superior teams.  I have decided to take all of the bias out of the equation, and introduce to you the blind resume.  I have taken 18 teams that the experts have right on the bubble.  Probably about 6 or 7 of these 18 teams will end up making the tournament, and these are the teams that the selection committee will be deciding over.  The point of a blind resume is that it is purely unbiased.  I have made tables that have three teams and their criteria listed.  The goal of this game is for you to look over the three resumes and then determine who you feel like most deserves a berth in the tournament.  After you are done picking out a team, click on the link below that table.  It will open a window that will show you the three teams that were in the table. You might be very surprised at some of the teams that you pick! (all stats and information as of 3/8/13) (for a brief recap of what RPI and BPI are,  I have them described in a previous post HERE)

Blind Resume Table #1:

CriteriaTeam ATeam BTeam C
Overall Record
20-10
20-10
20-9
Conference Record
9-8
11-6
8-7
RPI
94
54
43
BPI
65
46
47
Strength of Schedule
133
82
79
Non-Conference SOS
286
74
218
Home
15-4
15-2
13-1
Away
4-5
4-7
5-8
Neutral
1-1
1-1
2-0
Record vs. RPI Top 25
2-1
0-3
2-5
Record vs. RPI Top 50
4-4
1-4
3-6
Record vs. RPI Top 100
6-8
6-9
7-7
Last 10 games
4-6
6-4
6-4
Good Wins
Colorado, UCLA, 
California, @ Colorado
Missouri, @ Ole Miss@ Creighton, UNLV,
Colorado State
Bad LossesDepaul, @ Utah@ Georgia@ Utah, @ Nevada

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #1.

Blind Resume Table #2:

CriteriaTeam ATeam BTeam C
Overall Record
20-10
21-7
22-8
Conference Record
10-7
11-4
11-4
RPI
70
39
42
BPI
43
45
64
Strength of Schedule
134
98
88
Non-Conference SOS
302
121
87
Home
17-1
11-2
11-1
Away
3-8
8-5
9-6
Neutral
0-1
2-0
2-1
Record vs. RPI Top 25
2-2
1-1
0-3
Record vs. RPI Top 50
4-2
2-2
0-4
Record vs. RPI Top 100
7-3
5-6
3-7
Last 10 games
5-5
8-2
6-4
Good Wins@ Wisconsin, NC State,
UNC, Duke
Villanova, Butler, @ VCUDenver
Bad LossesDelaware, @ George Mason,
vs. Old Dominion,
@ Wake Forest, @Clemson
Central Connecticut State@ Marshall

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #2.

Blind Resume Table #3:

CriteriaTeam ATeam BTeam C
Overall Record
22-8
22-8
20-10
Conference Record
10-5
11-6
8-9
RPI
40
57
86
BPI
57
44
54
Strength of Schedule
72
162
123
Non-Conference SOS
68
294
298
Home
13-3
16-1
16-3
Away
8-4
5-6
3-6
Neutral
1-1
1-1
1-1
Record vs. RPI Top 25
1-3
0-2
1-4
Record vs. RPI Top 50
3-3
1-3
2-4
Record vs. RPI Top 100
9-5
6-6
3-8
Last 10 games
8-2
5-5
5-5
Good Winsvs. Syracuse, La Salle,
Saint Louis, @ Villanova
Missouri, Tennessee 2xNC State, Duke
Bad LossesDuquesne@ South Carolina,
@ Mississippi State
@ Boston College,
@ Georgia Tech

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #3.

Blind Resume Table #4:

CriteriaTeam ATeam BTeam C
Overall Record
19-12
17-13
18-11
Conference Record
10-8
9-9
10-7
RPI
52
77
56
BPI
59
90
63
Strength of Schedule
17
57
49
Non-Conference SOS
144
29
49
Home
12-4
11-3
12-3
Away
6-7
4-9
4-7
Neutral
1-1
2-1
2-1
Record vs. RPI Top 25
4-1
1-1
1-2
Record vs. RPI Top 50
5-7
3-5
2-3
Record vs. RPI Top 100
7-10
7-6
8-9
Last 10 games
6-4
4-6
7-3
Good WinsLouisville, Syracuse,
@ Connecticut,
Marquette, Georgetown
vs. Miami (FL),
@ Wichita State,
Creighton
Wichita State, Florida,
Massachusetts, Kentucky
Bad LossesColumbia@ Morehead State,
@ Southern Illinois,
@ Missouri State,
Drake 2x, @ Bradley
Georgia 2x

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #4.

Blind Resume Table #5:

CriteriaTeam ATeam BTeam C
Overall Record
20-10
18-10
20-10
Conference Record
10-7
8-7
12-6
RPI
50
55
49
BPI
39
95
53
Strength of Schedule
54
62
37
Non-Conference SOS
148
80
70
Home
16-1
10-4
11-5
Away
3-8
7-4
6-5
Neutral
1-1
1-2
3-0
Record vs. RPI Top 25
1-4
0-2
2-2
Record vs. RPI Top 50
3-7
1-6
5-5
Record vs. RPI Top 100
6-8
7-8
8-9
Last 10 games
6-4
5-5
8-2
Good WinsKansas State, Oklahoma,
Oklahoma State
@ La Salle, OhioOregon 2x, @ Arizona,
UCLA, Colorado, @Denver
Bad Losses@ Texas TechGeorge WashingtonHarvard

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #5.

Blind Resume Table #6:

CriteriaTeam ATeam BTeam C
Overall Record
18-11
26-5
17-13
Conference Record
11-6
14-2
8-9
RPI
62
34
69
BPI
67
32
49
Strength of Schedule
85
124
30
Non-Conference SOS
78
138
43
Home
12-3
16-1
11-5
Away
4-8
9-2
4-7
Neutral
2-0
1-2
2-1
Record vs. RPI Top 25
0-1
0-2
0-5
Record vs. RPI Top 50
0-4
1-2
1-5
Record vs. RPI Top 100
7-7
5-3
4-10
Last 10 games
6-4
9-1
3-7
Good Winsvs. Villanova, KentuckyCreighton, BYU 2xOklahoma State,
@ Kentucky, BYU
Bad LossesTulane, @ Auburn,
Mercer
vs. Pacific,
vs. Georgia Tech
Northwestern, Charleston

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #6.

I hope that this blind resume game was fun, and that it helped you discover some teams that you might have previously written off.  Remember, there is still some great basketball left to be played! This weekend has some great games, including Syracuse @ Georgetown, Duke @ UNC, and Indiana @ Michigan.  After this weekend, there is a whole glorious week of conference tournaments, and then the moment of truth for all of these schools listed above: Selection Sunday.  It's March.  This basketball is Madness.  Wait... It's MARCH MADNESS BABY! Clearly, I'm just a little excited about this.  'Til next time.

Thursday, February 28, 2013

Mailbag: Uniforms and Badgers

Have you ever wanted to pick the mind of your favorite sports blogger? Now you can! Just send me a question to straightupsports1@gmail.com or tweet it at me @straightsports1.  The content is up to you, so make it good! 

Darrel C. writes: "What's up with the new Adidas uniforms for March Madness? Do you like or dislike?"

Straight Up Response: Darrel, thanks for the question.  For those of you who have no idea what he is talking about, he is referring to these new uniforms that Adidas released this week: 


I normally like the new uniforms or big game uniforms that have been becoming increasingly popular over the last few years.  The key word there is normally.  I don't even know where to start with these.  The teams that have chosen to adapt these uniforms for the NCAA Tournament are Cincinnati, Kansas, Notre Dame, Baylor, UCLA, and Louisville.  This honestly looks like something that you would see a surfer or BMX rider wear.  What's next from here? Glow in the dark? Advertisements? 
There are some teams that you just don't mess with the uniforms.  UCLA and Kansas have two of the most classic and recognizable uniforms in college basketball.  You don't mess with that.  You don't mess with perfection.  Michigan and NC State, the two Adidas teams that opted out of wearing these uniforms, will wear their regular Adidas gear during the NCAA Tournament.  But in the long run, it's not the uniform, but the team on it that matters.

Hank M. writes: "Which team will take the Honey Badger? One who needs him bad enough to risk his off the field issues? Do his 4 bench reps matter?

Straight Up Response: Hank, thanks for hitting me up on Twitter with this question.  Being confined to 140 characters can be difficult, so I'll expand on this a bit.  Hank is talking about Tyrann Mathieu (at right), a former LSU defensive back, who was dismissed from the team before the 2012 season for drug issues.  Mathieu, who was nicknamed the "Honey Badger" in college, is a prospect that is practically covered in red flags.  The off the field problems are obviously a big one, but his combine results, including the bench press reps that Hank mentioned, are a bigger issue.  He also has not played in a game in over a year. 
Despite all of these issues, I think Mathieu has cleaned up his act, and will be a great pickup for a team in the 2-4 round.  I think that the Pittsburgh Steelers are the team that is most likely to pick him.  They are depleted in the defensive secondary, and are in desperate need of an interception producing player.  That was one of Matthieu's strengths in his time in Baton Rouge.  He forced 8 turnovers in just a 13 game season.  The Steelers' star corner back Keenan Lewis is also testing the waters of free agency, making secondary a must get position for the Steelers in the draft.  Another incredible upside to Mathieu is his punt and kickoff returning skills. If playing defense never works out for Tyrann, he could always be converted to a Devin Hester type kickoff and punt return specialist, seeing limited action on the offensive end.  The Steelers have also struggled with finding a solid kick and punt returner, and Tyrann might be their guy.
So to recap: I think the Steelers will take him (but I've been known to be wrong), the upside greatly outweighs the negative (especially if he slips to the 3rd or 4th round), and I think the bench reps don't matter a whole lot in the end (the Steelers will care more about his good 40 time).  Thanks for the great question Hank, and remember that the NFL Draft is just around the corner!

Dave R. writes: "What is your opinion on Wisconsin basketball? Do you enjoy watching the games? What do you think of Bo Ryan as a coach?"

Straight Up Response: Thanks for the email Dave! I have the feeling that this is a loaded question considering you said you were from Wisconsin, but I'll answer it truthfully anyways.  Wisconsin basketball bores me.  It verges on almost painful to watch at times.  But that does not mean that it isn't good basketball.  Sometimes it is hard to watch a team because they are sloppy, or can't make a shot.  This is not the case with Wisconsin.  Their whole strategy is to slow the game down to the point where they take almost every shot with less than 10 seconds left on the shot clock.  Don't think about running on them either: they forego offensive rebounds to get every player back in transition. You might think that there is no way that Wisconsin can win like this, but they have been extremely successful under Bo Ryan's scheme.  He never recruits top players because he recruits specifically to his scheme, and then develops his players into what he wants them to be.  I think Bo Ryan is one of the best coaches in the country.  Over the 12 seasons that he's been at Wisconsin, they have never finished worse than 4th in the very tough Big Ten, and have made the NCAA Tournament every singe year. He's on his way to do the same this year, leading the Badgers to a 20-8 record, including 5 wins over ranked teams   Maybe the only criticism result wise with Bo Ryan that he has never gotten a team to the Final Four.  But I think that the Badger faithful can live with that one.  Ugly, hard to watch, slow basketball can work as long as you have the right coach and the right scheme.  Bo Ryan is that coach, and so far in his career, his scheme is working just fine.

I think this first mailbag is a success.  Remember, email me at straightupsports1@gmail.com or tweet me @straightsports1, and maybe you can have your question answered! 'Til next time.

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Down Goes (Another) #1

Tonight, another #1 ranked team went down.  Tonight, another court was stormed (below).  Tonight, the Indiana Hoosiers fell to the Minnesota Golden Gophers in Minneapolis.

Impact Players: Trevor Mbakwe led the way for the Gophers with 21 points and 12 rebounds, but more importantly he held star Indiana center Cody Zeller in check for most of the game.  Mbakwe's effort, along with some timely contributions by backup Elliott Eliason, held Zeller to just 9 points.  Zeller, who eventually fouled out of the game, was not the only Hoosier star who was held in check tonight.  Christian Watford had only 2 points until about 1:00 left, when he made 2 threes just to claw Indiana back to a 4 point deficit. Jordan Hulls and Victor Oladipo led the way for Indiana with 17 and 16 respectively.  Minnesota guard Andre Hollins also added 16 points to go along with his brother Austin's 8 points, 4 rebounds, and 5 assists.

What This Means: This brings Indiana's record to 24-4 with a 12-3 conference record.  This loss opens up the Big Ten regular season title race, with Michigan, Michigan State, and Wisconsin all sitting with 4 conference losses.  Indiana still has to travel to Ann Arbor to take on the Michigan.  As for Minnesota, this win propels them to a 19-9 record (7-8 in conference).  Some people were beginning to doubt the Gophers, who after a fast start to the season, have tapered off over the last month.  But this win solidifies them as a team that will make it to the NCAA Tournament, as long as they take of business against Penn State, Nebraska, and Purdue (all teams with losing records) to finish out their season.  I am projecting Indiana for a 1 or 2 seed, and Minnesota for a 9 or 10 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

This win meant so much for Minnesota that their normally reserved and calm coach Tubby Smith did this in the locker room after the game:


This is why I love college basketball. 'Til next time.

Tuesday, February 19, 2013

The Year of the Stretch Forward

In the last two weeks since my rankings came out, there have been many changes: upsets, shocking victories, and the Chinese New Year.  That's right, on February 10th we officially entered The Year of Snake.  So, in honor of The Year of the Snake, I am naming this college basketball season "The Year of the Stretch Forward".

The stretch forward, or stretch four, is a term used to designate a player that plays at the power forward position, but has skills that are not normally associated with a power forward, namely: the ability to knock down a three pointer. The difference between a traditional forward and a stretch forward is purely on the offensive end. The stretch forward has the ability to play inside and around the perimeter, thus stretching out the defense.  Made popular in the NBA by players like Ryan Anderson, Kevin Love, and Ersan Ilyasova, the stretch forward position, if played correctly, can become a team's most dangerous weapon on offense. Recently however, college teams have began recruiting and developing players to play this role, and for many of them, it is working very well.  I am going to highlight five of the best in the college game at this position, and show the impact they are having on their teams.

Erik Murphy - Florida Gators - 6'10" 238 lbs. 
The senior (pictured right) from South Kingston, Rhode Island is one of the best stretch forwards in the nation.  He is averaging 12.7 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game for the 5th ranked Gators.  Murphy, a career 44% three point shooter, is shooting a blazing 50% from 3 this year, making 52 of his 104 attempts from deep.  He is an 83% free throw shooter, and also takes care of the ball: only 1.4 turnovers per game.  Murphy has led Florida to a 21-3 record, and a first place standing in the SEC with an 11-1 conference record. They are in running for a potential 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, with ESPN projecting them for one of the four coveted top seeds.  Florida arguably would not be in the situation they are now without Murphy, who has stepped up in a huge way in the last few weeks as Florida's front line has been plagued by injuries   Look for Murphy to lead his Gators deep into the NCAA Tournament this year.

Romero Osby - Oklahoma Sooners - 6'8" 232 lbs.
Osby is making a big name for himself in Norman.  The transfer from Mississippi State has played his last two seasons of eligibility with the Sooners.  Known as a lock-down defender, Osby has improved on offense to become the leading scorer for Oklahoma averaging 14 points per game.  He is shooting 56% from three this year, and grabbing 7 rebounds per game as well.  He doesn't take a lot of threes, but his ability to knock them down is what often opens up lanes for him to drive, which is exactly what he did to score 17 points in Oklahoma's upset win last week over #5 Kansas.  As for the rest of the team, Oklahoma is 16-8 with a 7-5 conference record.  They have quality wins over Kansas, and Oklahoma State; and no bad losses  so far.  They are being projected for an 8 seed in the tournament, and 5-1 or even a 4-2 record to finish out the season should place them safely in the NCAA Tournament. 

Doug McDermott - Creighton Bluejays - 6'8" 225 lbs.
You have to love those coach's sons.  Greg McDermott, Doug's father and Creighton's head coach, has to be pleased with his son's (and his team's) play this year.  Creighton is #1 nationally in 3 point percentage at 43%, and #2 in 3 pointers made per game at 9.3.  Doug McDermott is averaging 22.9 points per game, which is good for 3rd in the nation.  He also adds 7.8 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game.  Doug has shot 48% from 3 the last two years, and adds an 86% mark from the charity stripe.  He is not afraid to shoot the ball, hoisting 118 attempts so far this year, and making 57 of them.  Doug McDermott went to Ames High School in Ames, Iowa where he was teammates with All-American and now Golden State Warrior, Harrison Barnes.  During McDermott's and Barnes' junior and senior seasons they posted a 53-0 record, and won two state championships.  Now McDermott has led his Creighton team to a 21-6 record, and they have been ranked most of the year.  They have however fallen a bit in conference play in the Missouri Valley Conference  and trail Wichita State by 1 game.  The good news is the Shockers have to travel to Omaha and take on Creighton in the last game of the year on March 2nd.  Both teams are projected to get seed somewhere in the 7-9 range in the NCAA Tournament. 

Ryan Kelly - Duke Blue Devils - 6'11" 230 lbs. 
Senior Ryan Kelly is by far the most valuable player for Duke this year.  He has averaged 13.4 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game this year to go along with 52% shooting from three.  His defense is incredible: he's known as a shut-down post defender.  He is deadly in transition shooting the three, and is an 80% free throw shooter.  The only problem is that he has been out with a leg injury since January 12th.  This is where you realize just how valuable Kelly is to Duke: they are 15-0 with Kelly, including 3 wins over top 5 teams, and they are 7-3 since then, going 0-2 against ranked teams.  This included a 27 point thrashing they took at Miami.  After losing to Maryland this past weekend, Duke has fallen to #6 in the rankings.  They are still projected for a 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, but how far they go in that tournament will solely depend on the heath of Ryan Kelly, who is projected to be healthy by the time the tournament starts. 

Kyle Wiltjer - Kentucky Wildcats - 6'10" 239 lbs.
In a season that has been highlighted by disappointments for the defending national champions, Kyle Wiltjer has been a bight spot for Kentucky.  The sophomore from Portland, Oregon has been a great scoring option for the Wildcats, averaging 11.8 points and 4.6 rebounds per game.  The 41% three point shooter showed up the biggest in Kentucky's most pivotal game of the season against then #16 Ole Miss.  The game was in Oxford, Mississippi, and Wiltjer silenced the crowed with 26 points, including 5 threes.  Kentucky, who is clinging to a tournament spot received more bad news last week, as standout center Nerlens Noel tore his ACL and is out for the season.  In their first game without him, Kentucky suffered a 30 point defeat to Tennessee who is just a .500 SEC team.  Kentucky sits at 17-8 with an 8-4 SEC record.  They will have to prove themselves in their 6 remaining games to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament, where they are currently projected for a 10 seed.  

I can't believe that March Madness is almost here! This has been a crazy year for college basketball, and I'm pretty sure that it will only get crazier from this point on.  I will be releasing the second edition of my Straight Up Index rankings tomorrow.  'Til next time. 

Thursday, February 7, 2013

The Straight Up Index

As I was surveying the college basketball landscape this weekend, I really liked what I saw.  Great teams, players, coaches, and conferences all battling for supremacy.  However, I have one problem: rankings.  The sports world, and specifically college basketball, is overflowing with information about rankings.  By simply tweaking a formula to favor a certain type of win, you can make a case for your team to be number 1.  Human made polls are no better.  Sportswriters and journalists in the AP Poll are often biased towards a certain conference or team, and you can't expect all the coaches in the USA Today Coaches Poll to know what's happening to every team, and watch games to determine who should be ranked where.  These complaints aside, there are some very positive things about the different types of polls out there.  So I came up with the idea to combine them into what I am going to call the Straight Up Index (SUI). This index will take several of the different polls and ranking systems and combine them into one giant composite ranking. Here are the rankings that I will be using:

RPI (Ratings Percentage Index): The RPI system ranks teams based on wins, losses, and strength of schedule. RPI is made up of three factors: the team's winning percentage (25%), its opponents' winning percentage (50%), and the winning percentage of those opponents' opponents (25%).  It is a good system that looks directly at who you beat, and how good they are.  

The Human Polls: I am combining the AP Top 25 and the USA Today Coaches Poll into one category. As mentioned above these polls are subject to bias, but are a good representation of the college basketball landscape, especially because voters can use the "eye test" (how a team appears based solely on the fact that they play a certain way, and they are better/worse than their record).  The AP Poll is probably more widely accepted (it's the one that gives you the number next to the team's name on TV), but both are subject to letting an underrated team fall through the cracks (Oregon), or consistently overrating a team (NC State). 

BPI (College Basketball Power Index): The BPI is a more complex and thorough rating system. but it takes into account many things that matter at the end of year when the tournament starts in March. The BPI takes into consideration several categories: where the game is played (home, neutral, road), pace of game, diminishing returns for blowing out bad teams, scoring margin, strength of schedule, and playing games without key players.  As you can see, it is a much more thorough system than the RPI, which is both a good and bad thing.  

Kenpom (Ken Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings): Ken Pomeroy's (Kenpom for short) rating system is a really confusing formula that crunches a lot of numbers that spits out a really good ranking system.  It has quickly gown to become the number 1 online formula based ranking system over the last few years, even if most people (myself included) don't understand how it works. 

So now you know where I am getting the rankings that make up the Straight Up Index.  My formula is quite simple: Each rankings system is worth 25% of the Index (except the human polls, which I will combine so each one is worth 12.5%).  A team gets 25 points if they are ranked number 1 in a poll, 24 if they are ranked number 2, and so on, all the way down to number 25, who will receive 1 point.  With each poll taking up 25% of the Index, 100 points would be a perfect score (#1 in every poll).  After giving every team the composite score, I will rank them simply based on who scored the most points. 

Here is the first edition of the Straight Up Index college basketball rankings (data is through games of Wednesday, February 6th):

SUI Ranking
Team
RPI
HP
BPI
KP
SUI
#1
Florida
3
2
3
1
95
#2
Duke
1
4
1
5
93
#3
Michigan
4
3
4
4
89
#4
Indiana
12
1
2
2
87
#5
Louisville
8
11.5
5
3
76.5
#6
Syracuse
7
9
6
7
75
#7
Arizona
5
7
7
12
73
#8
Gonzaga
10
6
8
9
71
#9
Miami (FL)
2
9.5
12
10
70.5
#10
Kansas
9
5
9
13
68
#11
Ohio State
17
10
10
8
59
#12
Minnesota
11
18
11
11
53
#13
Michigan State
13
10
17
15
49
#14
New Mexico
6
15.5
19
NR
37.5
#15
Pittsburgh
NR
24
13
6
35
#16
Creighton
NR
14.5
14
18
31.5
#17
Cincinnati
NR
17
15
20
26
#18
Colorado State
15
NR
21
16
26
#19
Butler
14
14
NR
NR
24
#20
Marquette
16
25
20
22
21
#21
Oklahoma State
NR
23
18
19
18
#22
NC State
19
NR
16
NR
17
#23
Kansas State
23
14
NR
NR
15
#24
Wisconsin
NR
NR
24
14
14
#25
VCU
NR
NR
22
21
9
Also receiving points: Belmont (8), Oregon (7), San Diego State (7), Georgetown (6.5), Oklahoma (6), Missouri (5.5), UNLV (5), Ole Miss (4.5), Connecticut (4), Saint Mary's (2), Wichita State (2), Colorado (1), Notre Dame (1)
HP=Human Polls, KP=Kenpom, SUI=Straight Up Index

Analysis: For the inaugural edition of the Straight Up Index, there is not much analysis about who moved where, because, well, it's the first one.  I do think that the SUI ranking is a very fair and equal composite ranking of several major ranking systems. I am going to try to put out new rankings every 7-10 days.  They will be posted on the main page of the blog like this one is.  The SUI rankings will be displayed on the left sidebar of the blog, so you can see who the 10 is at any given time.

Big Game Forecast: Here I will be highlighting the marquee games that are coming up over the next week (all times Eastern, and all rankings AP - the ones you see on TV - as of February 7th):
February 9th:
#3 Michigan @ Wisconsin (12:00 pm), North Carolina @ #6 Miami (FL) (2:00 pm), #23 Pittsburgh @ #17 Cincinnati (6:00 pm), #11 Louisville @ #25 Notre Dame (9:00 pm), #15 New Mexico @ UNLV (9:00 pm)
February 10th:
#1 Indiana @ #10 Ohio State (1:00 pm)
February 11th:
#24 Marquette @ #20 Georgetown (7:00 pm), #13 Kansas State @ #5 Kansas (9:00 pm)
February 12th:
Kentucky @ #2 Florida (7:00 pm), #3 Michigan @ #12 Michigan State (9:00 pm)
February 13th:
North Carolina @ #4 Duke (9:00 pm)
February 14th:
Wisconsin @ #18 Minnesota (7:00 pm), #7 Arizona @ Colorado (10:00 pm), #6 Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's (11:00 pm)

I have always wanted to have my own ranking system.  Now that I have the formula down, I am going to create the Straight Up Index - College Football Recruiting Rankings to recap signing day for the 2013 class. As Dick Vitale would say "Enjoy these hoops BABY! They won't be here forever!" He's right: watch as much as you can, because once March Madness is over you are going to look back and wish you watched more.  So get out there, put that game face on, and watch some great basketball.  And if you miss some games, I'll just fill you in next week.  'Til next time.